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Europa League

Olympiacos
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Olympiacos
3 - 1
Cukaricki

El Kaabi (3', 40'), Fortounis (15')
Retsos (66'), Quini (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Miladinovic (90+3')
Nikcevic (61'), Nikcevic (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Cukaricki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Panserraikos
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Greek Superleague

Cukaricki

All competitions
Last Game: FC Twente 4-1 Cukaricki
Thursday, August 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawCukaricki
61.37% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)22.04%16.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 48.52% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.92% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)15.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)44.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cukaricki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)42.65% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)78.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 61.37%
    Cukaricki 16.59%
    Draw 22.04%
OlympiacosDrawCukaricki
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 61.37%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 16.59%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Cukaricki

Olympiacos
86.5%
Draw
9.6%
Cukaricki
3.8%
52