Genk
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Luminus Arena
Olympiacos

Genk
1 - 1
Olympiacos

Paintsil (30' pen.)
Fadera (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alexandropoulos (90+5')
Masouras (45'), Rodinei (54'), Camara (56'), Quini (65'), Fortounis (78'), Biel (83'), Freire (90')
Rodinei (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Genk and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 0-1 Genk
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Genk
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GenkDrawOlympiacos
50.1% (0.502 0.5)23.85% (0.024999999999999 0.02)26.06% (-0.52 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.55% (-0.559 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (-0.522 -0.52)44.96% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (-0.505 -0.51)67.32% (0.511 0.51)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)48.9% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)31.02% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.801 -0.8)67.34% (0.80799999999999 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Genk 50.1%
    Olympiacos 26.06%
    Draw 23.85%
GenkDrawOlympiacos
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.212 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.18 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.69% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.06%

How you voted: Genk vs Olympiacos

Genk
41.9%
Draw
32.3%
Olympiacos
25.8%
62
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 8pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Olympiacos
1-0
Genk
Fortounis (1')
Iborra (3'), Quini (37'), Alexandropoulos (90+10')

Galarza (3'), Baah (90+10')