Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stade de Geneve

Servette
1 - 1
Genk

(3-3 on aggregate)

Rouiller (77')
Douline (28'), Antunes (39'), Guillemenot (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arokodare (21')
Munoz (52'), Paintsil (80'), Cuesta (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Servette and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Servette

All competitions

Last Game: Grasshopper 1-3 Servette
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Genk

All competitions

Last Game: Genk 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Genk had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Servette	Draw	Genk
44.33% ( -0)	23.31% ( 0)	32.36% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.82% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.4% (

-0.03)

38.6% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.1% (

-0.03)

60.9% (

0.03)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.19% (

-0.01)

17.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.46% (

-0.02)

48.54% (

0.02)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

-0.01)

23.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.38% (

-0.02)

57.62% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Servette 44.33%

Genk 32.36%

Draw 23.3%

Servette	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 3.87% Total : 44.33%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 7.57% 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.36%