Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 3
May 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën
Genk

Union SG
3 - 0
Genk

Burgess (12', 81'), Teuma (68' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-2 Union SG
Saturday, May 6 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Genk

All competitions
Last Game: Antwerp 2-1 Genk
Sunday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Genk had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawGenk
43.86% (-0.159 -0.16)23.81% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)32.32% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 60.95% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (0.089999999999996 0.09)41.05% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.55% (0.092999999999996 0.09)63.44% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)18.99% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)50.54% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (0.14 0.14)24.76% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (0.197 0.2)59.33% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 43.86%
    Genk 32.32%
    Draw 23.81%
Union SGDrawGenk
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 43.86%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.56%
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.32%

How you voted: Union SG vs Genk

Union SG
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Genk
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 29
Genk
1-2
Union SG
Heynen (24' pen.)
Munoz (53'), Paintsil (63'), Cuesta (84')
Nieuwkoop (42'), Adingra (44')
Burgess (36'), Van der Heyden (63'), Moris (90+6')
Sep 11, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Union SG
1-2
Genk
Lapoussin (74')
Paintsil (15'), Samatta (90+2')
Onuachu (46')
Jan 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 21
Union SG
2-1
Genk
Nielsen (27'), Vanzeir (90+10' pen.)
Burgess (76'), Vanzeir (84'), Thierry Lazare (90+9')
Onuachu (77' pen.)
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
gameweek 6
Genk
1-1
Union SG
Onuachu (73' pen.)
Lucumi (43')
Undav (90+5')
Burgess (28')
Bager (72')
rhs 2.0


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