Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.