Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.