Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.