Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.