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Europa League

Olympiacos
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Genk

Olympiacos
1 - 0
Genk

Fortounis (1')
Iborra (3'), Quini (37'), Alexandropoulos (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Galarza (3'), Baah (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Olympiacos
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Genk

All competitions
Last Game: Genk 0-1 Eupen
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
OlympiacosDrawGenk
36.96% (0.935 0.94)24.4% (0.19 0.19)38.64% (-1.126 -1.13)
Both teams to score 59.97% (-0.606 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-0.827 -0.83)42.8% (0.826 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-0.826 -0.83)65.2% (0.824 0.82)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.119 0.12)22.99% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (0.175 0.18)56.79% (-0.176 -0.18)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.91 -0.91)22.13% (0.908 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (-1.392 -1.39)55.5% (1.39 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 36.96%
    Genk 38.64%
    Draw 24.4%
OlympiacosDrawGenk
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.135 0.14)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.296 0.3)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.235 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.184 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.64%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Loser Match 1

Olympiacos
60.9%
Draw
23.9%
Loser Match 1
15.2%
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