Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 1
Jul 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edmond Machtens-Stadion
Genk

RWDM
0 - 4
Genk


Abner (81')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Fadera (31'), Heynen (38' pen.), Munoz (45'), Cuesta (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between RWD Molenbeek and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RWD Molenbeek

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Servette 1-1 Genk
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
RWD MolenbeekDrawGenk
27.99% (-0.067 -0.07)23.26% (0.012 0.01)48.75% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.27% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.2% (-0.107 -0.11)40.8% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.81% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)63.19% (0.11 0.11)
RWD Molenbeek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)27.42% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1% (-0.13 -0.13)62.9% (0.13 0.13)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)16.95% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.96% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)47.04% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    RWD Molenbeek 27.99%
    Genk 48.75%
    Draw 23.26%
RWD MolenbeekDrawGenk
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 27.99%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.32% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.75%

How you voted: RWDM vs Genk

RWD Molenbeek
21.1%
Draw
10.5%
Genk
68.4%
19