Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Servette had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%).