Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hamburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga

Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Augsburg logo

Freiburg
2 - 0
Augsburg

Grifo (5' pen.), Lienhart (56')
Rohl (50'), Sildillia (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Breithaupt (60'), Michel (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
51.79% (0.425 0.43)23.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.68% (-0.438 -0.44)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (-0.446 -0.45)44.77% (0.443 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (-0.43 -0.43)67.13% (0.42800000000001 0.43)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)47.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)32.03% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.686 -0.69)68.49% (0.684 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 51.79%
    Augsburg 24.68%
    Draw 23.53%
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.183 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.68%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Augsburg

Freiburg
75.0%
Draw
17.5%
Augsburg
7.5%
40
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Berisha (29' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Augsburg
1-2
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (16')
Hahn (63')
Petersen (4'), Schlotterbeck (26')
Schlotterbeck (75')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
3-0
Augsburg
Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

Gouweleeuw (73')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Sallai (51'), Lienhart (79')
Lienhart (23'), Gulde (29'), Santamaria (45+1'), Til (46'), Hofler (74'), Gunter (76'), Demirovic (90+4')

Uduokhai (15'), Gouweleeuw (84')
> Preview