Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.