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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
VfL Bochum

Augsburg
2 - 2
VfL Bochum

Beljo (35'), Demirovic (62')
Pedersen (38'), Rexhbecaj (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Asano (45+3', 64')
Bero (46'), Passlack (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawVfL Bochum
39.93% (1.375 1.38)25.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)34.3% (-1.392 -1.39)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (-0.266 -0.27)49.38% (0.267 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58% (-0.239 -0.24)71.42% (0.24199999999999 0.24)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (0.608 0.61)24.39% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (0.849 0.85)58.81% (-0.848 -0.85)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.95899999999999 -0.96)27.57% (0.96 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-1.254 -1.25)63.09% (1.255 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 39.93%
    VfL Bochum 34.3%
    Draw 25.76%
AugsburgDrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.161 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.301 0.3)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.145 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.93%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.3%

How you voted: Augsburg vs VfL Bochum

Augsburg
56.7%
Draw
33.3%
VfL Bochum
10.0%
30
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
VfL Bochum
3-2
Augsburg
Antwi-Adjej (2'), Gouweleeuw (59' og.), Losilla (62')
Stafylidis (4'), Hofmann (50'), Riemann (90+3')
Maier (29'), Yeboah (85')
Bauer (32'), Gumny (76')
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 24, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
VfL Bochum
0-2
Augsburg

Gamboa (90+6')
Hahn (15'), Gregoritsch (43' pen.)
Dorsch (47'), Pedersen (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+6')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Augsburg
2-3
VfL Bochum
Gregoritsch (57'), Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Polter (23', 45+2'), Holtmann (40')
Soares (36'), Rexhbecaj (87')
Oct 27, 2021 5.30pm
Second Round
VfL Bochum
2-2
Augsburg
VfL Bochum win 5-4 on penalties
Pantovic (12', 53')
Polter (105')
Oxford (55'), Vargas (58')
Strobl (48'), Hahn (57'), Zeqiri (65'), Gregoritsch (92')