Champions League
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Nemanja Gudelj 58' goal
  • Mariano 67' yellowcard
  • Erik Lamela 76' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 45'+3'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 53'
  • yellowcard Jorginho 68'

Sevilla vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 8.00pm
PSV 2 - 2 Sevilla

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 8.00pm
Lens 2 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Sevilla 29.11% (-1.45)
Draw 26.01% (-0.20)
Arsenal 44.88% (+1.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.9% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.86% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 52.14% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 26.14% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 73.86% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 12.09% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.91% (-0.09)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 67.54% (-0.98)
Under 0.5 32.46% (+0.98)
Over 1.5 31.02% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 68.98% (+1.11)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 76.84% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 23.16% (-0.86)
Over 1.5 42.97% (+1.24)
Under 1.5 57.03% (-1.25)

Score analysis

Sevilla 29.11%
Draw 26.01%
Arsenal 44.88%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.01%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 10.99% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 9.05% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 8.04% (+0.35)
1-3 @ 4.41% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 3.92% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.61% (+0.11)
0-4 @ 1.43% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.88%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 30, 2022 12.30pm
6
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Bukayo Saka 10' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 13' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 15' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 19' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 77' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 73'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 30, 2017 4.20pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Alexandre Lacazette 62' goal
  • yellowcard Sergio Escudero 43'
  • goal Joaquin Correa 49'
  • goal Steven N'Zonzi 69'
  • yellowcard Michael Krohn-Dehli 86'

Build-up

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