Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.