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Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Metz logo

Lens
0 - 1
Metz


Wahi (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Asoro (37')
Asoro (33'), Cande (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-0 Lens
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Metz

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-2 Reims
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawMetz
50.67% (-2.35 -2.35)25.68% (0.963 0.96)23.65% (1.384 1.38)
Both teams to score 48.47% (-1.221 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-2.412 -2.41)54.44% (2.41 2.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-2.044 -2.04)75.8% (2.043 2.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-1.933 -1.93)21.52% (1.931 1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-3.058 -3.06)54.58% (3.056 3.06)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)38.23% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01% (-0.032 -0.03)74.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.66%
    Metz 23.65%
    Draw 25.67%
LensDrawMetz
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.235 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.432 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.42 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.293 -0.29)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.283 -0.28)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 50.66%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.42 0.42)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.745 0.75)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.709 0.71)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.338 0.34)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: Lens vs Metz

Lens
91.3%
Draw
4.3%
Metz
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Metz
0-0
Lens
Boulaya (15'), de Preville (19'), Sarr (43'), Kouyate (78'), N'Doram (89')
Sotoca (58'), Danso (64')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
4-1
Metz
Said (14', 37'), Ganago (83'), Frankowski (90')
Leca (65'), Ganago (87')
De Preville (33')
Pajot (20'), Maiga (39'), N'Doram (53')
> Preview
Mar 14, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 29
Lens
2-2
Metz
Clauss (13'), Cahuzac (36')
Gradit (8'), Haidara (19'), Medina (37'), Fofana (86')
Goncalves (27' pen.), Delaine (57')
Goncalves (37'), Boye (50'), Sarr (82')
> Preview
Dec 19, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 16
Metz
2-0
Lens
Nguette (30'), Boulaya (90+3')
Boulaya (49')

Sotoca (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 24
Lens
0-0
Metz
Chouiar (32'), Mesloub (81')
Maiga (15'), Boye (46'), Diallo (78'), Gakpa (89')