Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Elche
Espanyol logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Levante logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Las Palmas

Sevilla
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Lukebakio (71')
Torres (32'), Mir (38'), Ocampos (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Javier Garcia Pimienta (0'), Araujo (45+5'), El Haddadi (49'), Rodriguez (52'), Viera (62'), Pejino (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawLas Palmas
41.21% (-0.743 -0.74)28.2% (-0.22 -0.22)30.59% (0.964 0.96)
Both teams to score 46.2% (0.997 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.24% (1.057 1.06)59.76% (-1.054 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.94% (0.8 0.8)80.06% (-0.798 -0.8)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.096000000000004 0.1)28.52% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.121 0.12)64.3% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (1.312 1.31)35.37% (-1.309 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (1.339 1.34)72.13% (-1.334 -1.33)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 41.21%
    Las Palmas 30.59%
    Draw 28.19%
SevillaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 41.21%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.08% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.159 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 30.59%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Las Palmas

Sevilla
91.2%
Draw
5.9%
Las Palmas
2.9%
68
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2018 12pm
Las Palmas
1-2
Sevilla
Calleri (82' pen.)
Penalba (24'), Viera (82')
Ben Yedder (35'), Sarabia (50')
Pizarro (29'), Lenglet (78'), Mesa (90')
Sep 20, 2017 9pm
Sevilla
1-0
Las Palmas
Navas (83')
Mercado (44'), Navas (90')

Garcia (2'), Momo (76')
Feb 12, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-1
Sevilla

Lemos (84'), Mesa (88')
Correa (80')
Kranevitter (17'), Sarabia (28'), Iborra (78'), Correa (81')
Sep 10, 2016 5.15pm
Sevilla
2-1
Las Palmas
Sarabia (88' pen.), Fernandez (90')
Vazquez (9'), Pareja (54'), Mariano (81')
Tanausu (16')
Livaja (45'), Mesa (54'), Bigas (56'), Araujo (81')
Bigas (89')
Feb 14, 2016 3pm
Sevilla
2-0
Las Palmas
Banega (69'), Gameiro (76')
Kolodziejczak (64')

Garrido (36'), Silva Willian Jose (82'), Wakaso (87')