Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 41.21% ( | 28.2% ( | 30.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.24% ( | 59.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.94% ( | 80.06% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( | 28.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( | 64.3% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( | 35.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.87% ( | 72.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.29% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.59% |