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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Las Palmas

Sevilla
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Lukebakio (71')
Torres (32'), Mir (38'), Ocampos (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Javier Garcia Pimienta (0'), Araujo (45+5'), El Haddadi (49'), Rodriguez (52'), Viera (62'), Pejino (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Girona
Saturday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Las Palmas

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 3 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-0 Las Palmas

 This is a big match for Sevilla, even this early in the campaign. There will be huge pressure on the home side to pick up a victory this weekend, and we are expecting them to secure all three points, but Las Palmas are capable of making it an uncomfortable game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawLas Palmas
41.21% (-0.743 -0.74) 28.2% (-0.22 -0.22) 30.59% (0.964 0.96)
Both teams to score 46.2% (0.997 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.24% (1.057 1.06)59.76% (-1.054 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.94% (0.8 0.8)80.06% (-0.798 -0.8)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.096000000000004 0.1)28.52% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.121 0.12)64.3% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (1.312 1.31)35.37% (-1.309 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (1.339 1.34)72.13% (-1.334 -1.33)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 41.21%
    Las Palmas 30.59%
    Draw 28.19%
SevillaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 41.21%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.08% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.159 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 30.59%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Las Palmas

Sevilla
91.2%
Draw
5.9%
Las Palmas
2.9%
68
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2018 12pm
Las Palmas
1-2
Sevilla
Calleri (82' pen.)
Penalba (24'), Viera (82')
Ben Yedder (35'), Sarabia (50')
Pizarro (29'), Lenglet (78'), Mesa (90')
Sep 20, 2017 9pm
Sevilla
1-0
Las Palmas
Navas (83')
Mercado (44'), Navas (90')

Garcia (2'), Momo (76')
Feb 12, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-1
Sevilla

Lemos (84'), Mesa (88')
Correa (80')
Kranevitter (17'), Sarabia (28'), Iborra (78'), Correa (81')
Sep 10, 2016 5.15pm
Sevilla
2-1
Las Palmas
Sarabia (88' pen.), Fernandez (90')
Vazquez (9'), Pareja (54'), Mariano (81')
Tanausu (16')
Livaja (45'), Mesa (54'), Bigas (56'), Araujo (81')
Bigas (89')
Feb 14, 2016 3pm
Sevilla
2-0
Las Palmas
Banega (69'), Gameiro (76')
Kolodziejczak (64')

Garrido (36'), Silva Willian Jose (82'), Wakaso (87')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514
> La Liga Full Table


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