Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
34.71% ( 1.06) | 27.99% ( 0.27) | 37.3% ( -1.34) |
Both teams to score 47.76% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.73% ( -0.9) | 58.27% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.1% ( -0.71) | 78.9% ( 0.71) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( 0.25) | 31.7% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% ( 0.28) | 68.12% ( -0.28) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( -1.23) | 30.07% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( -1.51) | 66.2% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 11.45% 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |