Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 34.71% ( | 27.99% ( | 37.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( | 58.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( | 78.9% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( | 31.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( | 68.12% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( | 30.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( | 66.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 11.45% 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.29% |