Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
| 46.99% ( | 26.18% ( | 26.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.94% ( | 54.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% ( | 75.49% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( | 22.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( | 56.79% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( | 35.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% ( | 72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.83% |