La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 1
Girona

Budimir (52', 55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jesus (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 2-1 Osasuna
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 1-2 Betis
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Girona had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Girona
49.04% ( -0.92)	25.58% ( 0.57)	25.38% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 50.43% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29% (

-1.98)

52.72% (

1.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65% (

-1.72)

74.35% (

1.72)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49% (

-1.19)

21.51% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.43% (

-1.87)

54.57% (

1.88)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.26% (

-0.77)

35.74% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.49% (

-0.8)

72.51% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 49.04%

Girona 25.38%

Draw 25.58%

Osasuna	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.04%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 25.38%