La Liga Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Ante Budimir 52' goal
  • Ante Budimir 55' goal
  • goal Reinier Jesus 75'

Osasuna vs Girona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 6.00pm
Getafe 2 - 1 Osasuna
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Girona

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 6.00pm
Girona 1 - 2 Betis
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Girona had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.

Result

Osasuna 49.04% (-0.93)
Draw 25.58% (+0.57)
Girona 25.38% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.43% (-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.29% (-1.99)
Under 2.5 52.72% (+1.99)
Over 3.5 25.65% (-1.73)
Under 3.5 74.35% (+1.73)
Over 4.5 11.77% (-1.12)
Under 4.5 88.23% (+1.13)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5 78.49% (-1.20)
Under 0.5 21.51% (+1.20)
Over 1.5 45.43% (-1.88)
Under 1.5 54.57% (+1.88)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5 64.26% (-0.78)
Under 0.5 35.74% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 27.49% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 72.51% (+0.81)

Score analysis

Osasuna 49.04%
Draw 25.58%
Girona 25.38%
Osasuna
1-0 @ 11.81% (+0.50)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 9.08% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.26)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 49.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.26)
0-0 @ 7.69% (+0.59)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.58%
Girona
0-1 @ 7.91% (+0.45)
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.4% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.38%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • David Lopez 45'+1' goal
  • goal Kike Barja 37'
Copa del Rey
Jan 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • David Junca 6' goal
  • yellowcard Unai Garcia 79'
  • yellowcard Jon Moncayola 83'