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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Rayo Vallecano logo

Sevilla
2 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Sow (50'), En-Nesyri (90+6')
Gudelj (36'), Sow (45+3'), Suso (67'), Navas (84'), Jordan (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Valentin (21'), Garcia (26')
Hernandez (74'), Perez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-2 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Mallorca
Saturday, September 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
50.82% (-0.284 -0.28)26.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)22.88% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 45.92% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (0.061999999999998 0.06)57.36% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (0.049000000000003 0.05)78.18% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)22.67% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.147 -0.15)56.31% (0.145 0.14)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.38% (0.271 0.27)40.62% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.246 0.25)77.21% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 50.81%
    Rayo Vallecano 22.88%
    Draw 26.3%
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla
88.0%
Draw
6.0%
Rayo Vallecano
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 22
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Sevilla
Lejeune (65')
Suso (29')
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Sevilla
Bebe (46')
Iraola (74')
Delaney (63')
Ocampos (59')
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
rhs 2.0


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