Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 50.82% ( | 26.3% ( | 22.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.64% ( | 57.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.82% ( | 78.18% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( | 22.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( | 56.31% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% ( | 40.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% ( | 77.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 13.66% ( 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.88% |