La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano2 - 0Alaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Alaves
This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with both sides picking up six points from four league games this season. Alaves have struggled away this term, but they were impressive against Valencia last time out, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Alaves |
30.42% ( -0.01) | 27.85% | 41.73% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
