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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Alaves logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Alaves

Isi (43' pen.), de Frutos (82')
Hernandez (19'), de Tomas (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Duarte (23'), Garcia (24'), Sola (41'), Hagi (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Valencia
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlaves
30.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.85%41.73% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 47.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)58.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)79.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)34.85% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.59% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79%63.21%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 30.42%
    Alaves 41.72%
    Draw 27.84%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 12.38%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 41.72%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves

Rayo Vallecano
57.1%
Draw
33.3%
Alaves
9.5%
84
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Alaves
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Joselu (64')
Escalante (45+3'), Duarte (90+9')

Nteka (55'), Maras (90+3'), Isi (90+8')
Balliu (88')
Dec 18, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 18
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Alaves
Guardiola (19'), Catena (26')
Trejo (10')

Duarte (24'), Tachi (70')
Jan 28, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 21
Alaves
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Maripan (57'), Pacheco (84')
De Tomas (47')
Moreno (69'), Imbula (84'), Comesana (85'), Medran (89'), Bebe (90')
Sep 22, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
1-5
Alaves
De Tomas (30')
Imbula (90')
Ba (35')
Navarro (8'), Gomez (34', 77'), Calleri (56'), Burgui (90')
Duarte (23'), Aguirregabiria (83')
rhs 2.0


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