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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Rayo Vallecano logo

Betis
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Jose (53')
Miranda (15'), Rodriguez (43'), Roca (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (45'), Espino (55'), Isi (58'), de Tomas (58'), Perez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
33.84% (-0.272 -0.27)28.56% (0.103 0.1)37.6% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.01% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (-0.389 -0.39)60.38% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (-0.296 -0.3)80.53% (0.3 0.3)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.387 -0.39)33.37% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.428 -0.43)69.99% (0.431 0.43)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)30.94% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (-0.106 -0.11)67.24% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 33.84%
    Rayo Vallecano 37.6%
    Draw 28.55%
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 12.11% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.6%

How you voted: Betis vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Betis
81.6%
Draw
7.9%
Rayo Vallecano
10.5%
38
Head to Head
May 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Betis
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Sabaly (5'), Perez (44'), Iglesias (90+6')
Comesana (52')
Jan 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Betis
Camello (20')
Balliu (7' og.), Henrique (40')
Mar 3, 2022 8pm
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Betis
Garcia (5')
Valentin (65')
Iglesias (26'), Carvalho (68')
Silva (78')
Jan 9, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 20
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Betis
Balliu (70')
Garcia (55')
Canales (45+2')
Canales (34'), Guardado (45+6'), Pellegrini (45+8'), Silva (87')
Moreno (33')