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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Rayo Vallecano logo

Betis
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Jose (53')
Miranda (15'), Rodriguez (43'), Roca (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (45'), Espino (55'), Isi (58'), de Tomas (58'), Perez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Betis 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo will be desperate to bounce back from their seven-goal defeat last time out, but this is a very tricky match against a talented Real Betis outfit. Pellegrini's side will also be aiming to recover from a loss, and we are backing the home side to secure all three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
33.84% (-0.272 -0.27) 28.56% (0.103 0.1) 37.6% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.01% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (-0.389 -0.39)60.38% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (-0.296 -0.3)80.53% (0.3 0.3)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.387 -0.39)33.37% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.428 -0.43)69.99% (0.431 0.43)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)30.94% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (-0.106 -0.11)67.24% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 33.84%
    Rayo Vallecano 37.6%
    Draw 28.55%
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 12.11% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.6%

How you voted: Betis vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Betis
81.6%
Draw
7.9%
Rayo Vallecano
10.5%
38
Head to Head
May 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Betis
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Sabaly (5'), Perez (44'), Iglesias (90+6')
Comesana (52')
Jan 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Betis
Camello (20')
Balliu (7' og.), Henrique (40')
Mar 3, 2022 8pm
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Betis
Garcia (5')
Valentin (65')
Iglesias (26'), Carvalho (68')
Silva (78')
Jan 9, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 20
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Betis
Balliu (70')
Garcia (55')
Canales (45+2')
Canales (34'), Guardado (45+6'), Pellegrini (45+8'), Silva (87')
Moreno (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Getafe331013104145-443
10Villarreal32119125155-442
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla32910134145-437
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria33111213267-3514


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