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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 2
Betis

Vesga (30' pen., 45' pen.), Guruzeta (45+7'), Gomez Etxebarria (84')
Paredes (59'), Ruiz de Galarreta (61'), Vesga (79'), Berenguer (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Jose (2'), Isco (10')
Rodriguez (44'), Vinicius (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 0-0 Atletico
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

Athletic will be missing some important players this weekend, but the same can also be said for Real Betis. We were close to backing an away win, and it would not be a surprise to see the visitors triumph here, but Athletic are good enough to claim a share of the spoils in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
47.17% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 26.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 26.41% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)55.24% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.53% (-0.026 -0.03)76.47% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)23.42% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (0.021999999999998 0.02)73.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 47.16%
    Real Betis 26.41%
    Draw 26.42%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.61% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.41%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
36.8%
Draw
22.8%
Real Betis
40.4%
57
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 9pm
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Betis
Williams (2', 72'), De Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Apr 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Rodriguez (55'), Guardado (82'), Bravo (88')
Fekir (11')
de Marcos (43'), Nunez (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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