Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.