Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 35.02% ( | 28.03% ( | 36.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.62% ( | 58.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.01% ( | 78.99% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% ( | 31.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.04% ( | 67.96% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% ( | 30.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% ( | 66.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 3-2 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.02% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.95% |