Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
35.02% ( -0.15) | 28.03% ( -0.07) | 36.95% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 47.68% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.62% ( 0.25) | 58.38% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.01% ( 0.2) | 78.99% ( -0.19) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( 0.03) | 31.56% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( 0.03) | 67.96% ( -0.03) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( 0.26) | 30.33% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% ( 0.31) | 66.52% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.02% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |