Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 40.39% ( | 28.58% ( | 31.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.06% ( | 60.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.05% ( | 80.94% ( |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( | 29.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% ( | 65.58% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( | 35.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( | 72.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% ( 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0-0 @ 10.54% ( 2-2 @ 4.16% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 31.02% |