Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
40.39% ( 0.03) | 28.58% ( 0.15) | 31.03% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 45.32% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.06% ( -0.57) | 60.93% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.05% ( -0.43) | 80.94% ( 0.43) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( -0.26) | 29.55% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( -0.32) | 65.58% ( 0.32) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.33% ( -0.44) | 35.66% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% ( -0.46) | 72.44% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.03% Total : 31.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |