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La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Rayo Vallecano logo

Mallorca
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Muriqi (51'), Copete (71'), Rodriguez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawRayo Vallecano
39.03% (-1.811 -1.81)29.24% (0.78 0.78)31.73% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 43.76% (-1.784 -1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.04% (-2.354 -2.35)62.96% (2.356 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.56% (-1.74 -1.74)82.44% (1.742 1.74)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63% (-2.235 -2.24)31.37% (2.237 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26% (-2.673 -2.67)67.74% (2.675 2.68)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (-0.50299999999999 -0.5)36.24% (0.506 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (-0.515 -0.51)73.03% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 39.03%
    Rayo Vallecano 31.72%
    Draw 29.22%
MallorcaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.18% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 11.36% (0.95 0.95)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.257 -0.26)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.22%
0-1 @ 11.53% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.343 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 31.72%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano

Mallorca
51.1%
Draw
26.7%
Rayo Vallecano
22.2%
45
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 3
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Mallorca

Valentin (66')
Muriqi (13'), Kang-in (64')
Grenier (62'), Sanchez (73'), Copete (79')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 37
Mallorca
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Muriqi (13'), Prats (90+2')
Muriqi (45')
Ciss (60')
Feb 2, 2022 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Rayo Vallecano
1-0
Mallorca
Trejo (44' pen.)
Comesana (28'), Valentin (72'), Trejo (78'), Ciss (90+7'), Dimitrievski (90+8'), Balliu (90+9')

Ruiz de Galarreta (33'), Sanchez (51'), Russo (84'), Maffeo (90+1'), Valjent (90+1')
Nov 22, 2021 8pm
gameweek 14
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Mallorca
Guardiola (16'), Garcia (20'), Trejo (63' pen.)
Valentin (47'), Guardiola (57'), Trejo (65')
Prats (89')
Kang-in (28'), Olivan (57')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 22
Rayo Vallecano
1-3
Mallorca
Advincula (41')
Advincula (18'), Isi (29'), Suarez (38')
Ndiaye (3'), Prats (13'), Sevilla (19')
Russo (42'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Rodriguez (78')