Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 39.03% ( | 29.24% ( | 31.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.04% ( | 62.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% ( | 82.44% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( | 31.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( | 67.74% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% ( | 36.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% ( | 73.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 3-1 @ 3% ( 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 39.03% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0-0 @ 11.36% ( 2-2 @ 3.94% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 31.72% |