Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 34.31%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.82%) and 1-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (14.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.