Segunda Division | 1st Leg

Jun 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa

Eibar
1 - 1
Alaves

(Alaves win 3-1 on aggregate)

Stoichkov (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sylla (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions

Last Game: Huesca 0-1 Eibar
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Alaves
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Alaves
50.46% ( 0.22)	29.1% ( 0.51)	20.44% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 36.7% (

-1.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.2% (

-1.91)

67.8% (

1.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.2% (

-1.29)

85.8% (

1.29)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

-0.81)

27.56% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

-1.06)

63.08% (

1.06)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.66% (

-1.96)

49.34% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.8% (

-1.43)

84.2% (

1.43)

Score Analysis

Eibar 50.45%

Alaves 20.44%

Draw 29.1%

Eibar	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 17.52% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.51% Total : 50.45%	0-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.93) 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.3% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.03% Total : 20.44%