La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
We said: Cadiz 1-1 Alaves
There is not a huge difference when it comes to the quality of these two sides, and we are expecting them to be in a similar position in the table at the end of the season. This match has a draw written all over it, which both managers would likely take if it were offered ahead of kickoff on Monday night.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.91% . A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 30.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 2-1 (7.17%) . The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.
Result Cadiz Draw Alaves 36.91% ( -0.62) 30.45% ( 0.31) 32.64% ( 0.31)
Both teams to score 40.82% ( -0.72)
33.41% ( -0.88) 66.59% ( 0.88)
15.01% ( -0.6) 84.98% ( 0.6)
65.39% ( -0.87) 34.61% ( 0.87)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.67% ( -0.94) 71.33% ( 0.94)
62.42% ( -0.26) 37.57% ( 0.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.64% ( -0.26) 74.35% ( 0.26)
Cadiz 36.9%
Alaves 32.63%
Draw 30.44%
Cadiz Draw Alaves 1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.9% 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.44% 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.73% Total : 32.63%
How you voted: Cadiz vs Alaves
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rhs 2.0
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