Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Alaves |
| 36.91% ( | 30.45% ( | 32.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.41% ( | 66.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.01% ( | 84.98% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( | 34.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% ( | 71.33% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( | 37.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.64% ( | 74.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% ( 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0-0 @ 13% ( 2-2 @ 3.51% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.44% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 32.63% |