Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 32.51% ( | 28.85% ( | 38.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.45% ( | 61.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.6% ( | 81.4% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( | 34.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.34% ( | 71.66% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( | 30.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 3-2 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 12.67% ( 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 1-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.64% |