Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
32.51% ( -0.82) | 28.85% ( 0.07) | 38.64% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 44.98% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.45% ( -0.34) | 61.55% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.6% ( -0.26) | 81.4% ( 0.26) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -0.76) | 34.92% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% ( -0.81) | 71.66% ( 0.81) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% ( 0.28) | 30.89% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.33) | 67.17% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |