Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
| 30.39% ( | 27.54% ( | 42.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.54% ( | 57.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% ( | 78.26% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.71% ( | 34.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.01% ( | 70.99% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( | 26.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% ( | 62.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.39% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.07% |