Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
| 32.69% ( | 28.19% ( | 39.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.76% ( | 59.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.34% ( | 79.65% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% ( | 33.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% ( | 70.21% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( | 29.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( | 65.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 3-2 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.11% |