La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
3 - 4
Barcelona

Foyth (26'), Sorloth (40'), Baena (50')
Foyth (45+6'), Terrats (57'), Gabbia (80')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gavi (12'), de Jong (15'), Torres (68'), Lewandowski (71')
Yamal (44'), Lewandowski (45+6'), Garcia (82')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Villarreal
Friday, August 18 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Cadiz
Sunday, August 20 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Barcelona
29.72% ( 2.54)	24.35% ( 0.13)	45.93% ( -2.67)

Both teams to score 57.69% (

1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26% (

1.01)

44.74% (

-1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

0.97)

67.1% (

-0.97)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

2.34)

28.23% (

-2.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

2.86)

63.94% (

-2.86)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.39% (

-0.7)

19.61% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.45% (

-1.15)

51.55% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 29.72%

Barcelona 45.93%

Draw 24.35%

Villarreal	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.72%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.61) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.67) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.93%