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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Cadiz logo

Rayo Vallecano
3 - 1
Cadiz

Garcia (9'), Falcao (44'), Isi (87')
Isi (50'), Balliu (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Haroyan (23')
Bastida (45+1'), Haroyan (48'), Cala (56'), Perea (90+3')

Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs. Cadiz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After both earning impressive results in midweek, Rayo Vallecano and Cadiz will square off on Sunday in La Liga action.

The hosts held Barcelona to a goalless draw, while their newly-promoted visitors made it back-to-back wins as they defeated Athletic Bilbao away from home.


Match preview

Cadiz players celebrate Anthony Lozano's goal against Real Madrid on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Following their promotion from the second tier last season, Rayo Vallecano were handed an unenviable start to the new campaign, taking on Sevilla and Real Sociedad, and they understandably came out without a point.

Andoni Iraola's did not take long to adjust though, as they put their first points on the board with a 4-0 thrashing of Granada, thanks to goals from Alvaro Garcia, Oscar Trejo, Santi Comesana and Randy Nteka, before Sergi Guardiola rescued a late 1-1 draw with a 92nd-minute equaliser away at Levante.

Los Vallecanos now come into Sunday's game on the back of consecutive victories, stretching their unbeaten run to four games, as they firstly thrashed Getafe 3-0, with Trejo, Pathe Ciss and Radamel Falcao getting on the scoresheet.

They built on that with a dramatic win on Tuesday, as their clash with Athletic Bilbao seemingly looked to end level after Ciss's own goal, only for Falcao to come off the bench and net a 96th-minute winner.

That saw Iraola's side move up to sixth spot, but they should remain focused on the ultimate task of establishing themselves as a top-flight outfit this season, with the chance to stretch their winning run to three games on Sunday.

Cadiz's Alvaro Negredo celebrates scoring their second goal in January 2021© Reuters

They meet a Cadiz side who will also look to have a strong start to ensure they steer well clear of the bottom sides by the end of the season.

After a difficult start to the campaign, collecting just two points from their first four games, Los Piratas now head into Sunday's trip on the back of a victory and an impressive draw.

Alvaro Cervera's side broke their four-game winless run with an impressive 2-1 away victory over Celta Vigo, as Anthony Lozano and Alfonso Espino hit first-half goals.

They then secured a commendable point against Catalan giants Barcelona last time out, withstanding intense pressure to hold the 26-time La Liga champions to a goalless stalemate.

That saw Los Piratas move onto six points from six games, and they have a chance to move further away from the sides propping up the table with a positive victory on their travels on Sunday.

Rayo Vallecano La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Cadiz La Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Alvaro Negredo celebrates scoring for Cadiz against Barcelona on December 5, 2020© Reuters

After scoring in both of his first two substitute appearances since arriving in Spain, including the dramatic winner last time out, veteran forward Radamel Falcao could be handed a first start for Rayo Vallecano, if he is deemed fit to feature for the entirety of the game.

Martin Merquelanz remains on the sidelines through injury, while exciting midfielder Oscar Trejo is also expected to miss out after a strong start to the season.

His absence should see Alvaro Garcia, Unai Lopez and Isi Palazon form the trio behind Falcao, with Sergi Guardiola potentially dropping to the bench.

Jon Ander Garrido remains out of action for Cadiz, while Jose Mari is nearing a return, but is unlikely to feature this soon.

Fali was also forced off through injury in the draw with Barcelona, and he should miss out on Sunday as a result.

Experienced forward Alvaro Negredo will continue to lead the line, after netting eight league goals last season to held them avoid the drop.

He should again form an attacking duo with Ruben Sobrino in Cervera's preferred 4-4-2 system.

Rayo Vallecano possible starting lineup:
Dimitrievski; Balliu, Saveljich, Catena, F Garcia; Ciss, Comesana; A Garcia, Lopez, Palazon; Falcao

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Carcelen, Haroyan, Chust, Espino; Jimenez, Alarcon, Jonsson, Lozano; Sobrino, Negredo


SM words green background

We say: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Cadiz

Rayo Vallecano have been impressive in recent weeks, while Cadiz have shown themselves to be hard to beat after an initial blip, making this an intriguing encounter.

Despite holding Barca last time out, we can see the visitors falling just short against a Los Vallecanos side full of confidence and attacking talent.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz

Rayo Vallecano
72.4%
Draw
10.3%
Cadiz
17.2%
58
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Getafe173771114-316
16AlavesAlaves174491928-916
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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