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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Almeria

Sevilla
5 - 1
Almeria

En-Nesyri (7'), Lukebakio (8'), Suso (38'), Lamela (51'), Salas (90+2')
Navas (70'), Suso (83'), Lamela (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Suarez Charris (71' pen.)
Fernandes (77'), Baba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, September 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Valencia
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAlmeria
54.46% (-3.379 -3.38)23.34% (1.115 1.12)22.21% (2.271 2.27)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.264 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (-1.987 -1.99)46.49% (1.993 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (-1.894 -1.89)68.77% (1.901 1.9)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (-1.852 -1.85)16.97% (1.859 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (-3.395 -3.4)47.06% (3.402 3.4)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (1.11 1.11)35.16% (-1.102 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (1.141 1.14)71.91% (-1.133 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 54.45%
    Almeria 22.21%
    Draw 23.34%
SevillaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.398 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.451 -0.45)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.614 -0.61)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.381 -0.38)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.45 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.153 -0.15)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 3%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.56 0.56)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.487 0.49)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.678 0.68)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.454 0.45)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.44 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.213 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 22.21%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Almeria

Sevilla
70.0%
Draw
27.1%
Almeria
2.9%
70
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 25
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Ocampos (45+2' pen.), Lamela (73')
Akieme (2')
Aug 27, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Almeria
2-1
Sevilla
Ramazani (42'), Sadiq (55')
Eguaras (33'), Fernandes (71'), de la Hoz (78'), Baptistao (84'), Samu (90+1')
Torres (30')
Lamela (12'), Rekik (15'), Mir (45'), Navas (47'), Angel Carmona (70'), Isco (78'), Delaney (80'), Telles (83')
Feb 2, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Almeria
0-1
Sevilla

Corpas (69'), Chumi (81')
Ocampos (67')
Lopetegui (90')
May 17, 2015 6pm
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Iborra (65', 71')
Bifouma (30')
Corona (60'), Ruben (68'), Partey (73'), Dubarbier (83')
Trujillo (75')
Jan 11, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-2
Sevilla

Partey (20')
Iborra (58'), Coke (63')
Vidal (16')