La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
2 - 2
Valencia

Arribas (59', 69')
Montes (60'), Moreno (78'), Melero (83'), Ramazani (89'), Baptistao (90+11')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lopez (14'), Guerra (63')
Perez (51'), Diakhaby (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 3-0 Atletico
Saturday, September 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Valencia
28.01% ( 0.53)	26.93% ( 0.15)	45.05% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 48.49% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.77% (

-0.25)

56.23% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.72% (

-0.21)

77.27% (

0.21)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

0.29)

35.46% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

0.3)

72.23% (

-0.3)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

-0.44)

24.86% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53% (

-0.62)

59.46% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Almeria 28.01%

Valencia 45.05%

Draw 26.93%

Almeria	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.01%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.05%