La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 19, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
1 - 3
Real Madrid

Arribas (3')
Chumi (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bellingham (19', 60'), Junior (73')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, August 11 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Real Madrid
24.1% ( 0.76)	24.96% ( 0.2)	50.94% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 51.05% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71% (

-0.1)

51.29% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

-0.09)

73.12% (

0.09)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.92% (

0.63)

36.08% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.14% (

0.64)

72.86% (

-0.64)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

-0.43)

20.14% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59% (

-0.69)

52.41% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Almeria 24.1%

Real Madrid 50.94%

Draw 24.95%

Almeria	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.1%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.94%