Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.