Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.