Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Yanmar Stadion
  • Hamdi Akujobi 28' yellowcard
  • goal Guus Til 26'
  • goal Hirving Lozano 42'
  • goal Joey Veerman 66'
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 77'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 90'+3'

Almere City vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Excelsior 0 - 0 Almere City
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Thomas Robinet

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 7.00pm
PSV 4 - 0 Nijmegen
Goals scored
111
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 20.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 0-1 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result

Almere City 20.9% (+0.08)
Draw 20.27% (+0.03)
PSV Eindhoven 58.83% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.66% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.01% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 33.99% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 44.14% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 55.86% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 25.56% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 74.43% (+0.01)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5 70.73% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 29.27% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 34.77% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 65.23% (-0.08)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 88.59% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 11.41% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 63.82% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 36.18% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Almere City 20.9%
Draw 20.27%
PSV Eindhoven 58.83%
Almere City
2-1 @ 5.47% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 20.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.91% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.27%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.87% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.8% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 58.83%