Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
0 - 0
Almere City

El Yaakoubi (13'), Zagre (66')

Resink (26'), Robinet (45'), Royo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Almere City

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Almere City 1-2 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Almere City
45.66% ( 0.94)	22.93% ( -0.04)	31.4% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 63.75% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.8% (

-0.2)

37.19% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.6% (

-0.21)

59.4% (

0.21)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.26% (

0.28)

16.73% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.35% (

0.5)

46.65% (

-0.5)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56% (

-0.61)

23.44% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55% (

-0.9)

57.44% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 45.66%

Almere City 31.4%

Draw 22.93%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.08) Other @ 4.36% Total : 45.66%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 31.4%