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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 86.79%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 4.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 4-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 86.79% ( | 8.74% ( | 4.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.72% ( | 21.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.1% ( | 39.89% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.79% ( | 3.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.76% ( | 14.24% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.34% ( | 47.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.02% ( | 82.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 3-0 @ 10.36% ( 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 4-0 @ 8.92% ( 3-1 @ 7.68% ( 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 4-1 @ 6.61% ( 5-0 @ 6.13% ( 1-0 @ 5.26% ( 5-1 @ 4.55% ( 6-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 6-1 @ 2.61% ( 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 7-0 @ 1.73% ( 5-2 @ 1.69% ( 7-1 @ 1.28% ( 6-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 4.45% Total : 86.78% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( 2-2 @ 2.48% ( 0-0 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 8.74% | 1-2 @ 1.44% ( 0-1 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 4.48% |