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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 52.86% ( | 22.64% ( | 24.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.12% ( | 40.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( | 63.27% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( | 15.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.58% ( | 44.42% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( | 30.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( | 66.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.86% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.51% |