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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Mallorca logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Mallorca

Garcia (4'), Falcao (90+12' pen.)
Lopez (43'), de Tomas (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muriqi (44'), Sanchez (59')
Darder (83'), Costa (90+2'), Gonzalez (90+5'), Ndiaye (90+6'), Mascarell (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 2-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, September 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawMallorca
43.36% (-0.124 -0.12)26.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)29.65% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.29% (0.067999999999998 0.07)55.71% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.15% (0.057000000000002 0.06)76.85% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)25.48% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)60.32% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.136 0.14)33.92% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (0.146 0.15)70.59% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 43.35%
    Mallorca 29.65%
    Draw 26.99%
Rayo VallecanoDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.35%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 29.65%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca

Rayo Vallecano
77.3%
Draw
13.6%
Mallorca
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Mallorca
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Muriqi (51'), Copete (71'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Aug 27, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 3
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Mallorca

Valentin (66')
Muriqi (13'), Kang-in (64')
Grenier (62'), Sanchez (73'), Copete (79')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Mallorca
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Muriqi (13'), Prats (90+2')
Muriqi (45')
Ciss (60')
Feb 2, 2022 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Rayo Vallecano
1-0
Mallorca
Trejo (44' pen.)
Comesana (28'), Valentin (72'), Trejo (78'), Ciss (90+7'), Dimitrievski (90+8'), Balliu (90+9')

Ruiz de Galarreta (33'), Sanchez (51'), Russo (84'), Maffeo (90+1'), Valjent (90+1')
Nov 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Mallorca
Guardiola (16'), Garcia (20'), Trejo (63' pen.)
Valentin (47'), Guardiola (57'), Trejo (65')
Prats (89')
Kang-in (28'), Olivan (57')