Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
| 43.36% ( | 26.99% ( | 29.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.29% ( | 55.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.15% ( | 76.85% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( | 25.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( | 60.32% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( | 33.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( | 70.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.65% |