La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 23, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
5 - 3
Mallorca

Lopez (26'), Dovbyk (33' pen.), Martin (37'), Herrera (45'), Savio (57')
Martin (79')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Muriqi (4' pen.), Prats (88', 90+5')
Costa (31'), Samu (31'), Morlanes (33'), Rodriguez (38'), Aguirre (39'), Nastasic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 2-4 Girona
Monday, September 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Mallorca
49.02% ( 0.07)	26.58% ( -0.02)	24.39% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.81% (

0.03)

57.19% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.95% (

0.03)

78.05% (

-0.02)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

0.05)

23.4% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61% (

0.07)

57.39% (

-0.06)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.91% (

-0.03)

39.09% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.19% (

-0.02)

75.8% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Girona 49.02%

Mallorca 24.39%

Draw 26.58%

Girona	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 49.02%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.39%