La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
3 - 2
Mallorca

Rubio (12'), Zaragoza (46'), Uzuni (70' pen.)
Melendo (16'), Ruiz (41')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Prats (38'), Samu (87')
Copete (33'), Rajkovic (41'), Rodriguez (45+2'), Gonzalez (51'), Larin (68'), Maffeo (90+4'), Aguirre (90+2'), Llabres (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Granada and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, August 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Villarreal
Friday, August 18 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Mallorca
40.24% ( 0.25)	29.64% ( -0.08)	30.12% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 42.23% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.42% (

0.2)

64.58% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.4% (

0.14)

83.6% (

-0.14)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53% (

0.25)

31.47% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

0.29)

67.85% (

-0.29)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.63% (

-0.02)

38.37% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.88% (

-0.02)

75.12% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Granada 40.23%

Mallorca 30.11%

Draw 29.63%

Granada	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 13.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 40.23%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.63%	0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 30.11%