Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Girona |
| 42.16% ( | 27.9% ( | 29.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.1% ( | 58.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.61% ( | 79.39% ( |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( | 27.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( | 63.11% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( | 35.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( | 72.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.37% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.94% |