Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
| 47.51% ( | 27.58% ( | 24.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.77% ( | 60.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.58% ( | 80.41% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( | 25.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( | 60.29% ( |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.67% ( | 40.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.05% ( | 76.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 14.04% ( 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 2-2 @ 3.96% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.91% |